Gazélec Ajaccio vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 0
OLY
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GAZ
1 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 0
GAZ
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LEP
0 - 2
GAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GAZ
4 - 1
GFO
60%
22%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAB
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CAB
2 - 0
LYO
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAB
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MON
3 - 1
CAB
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAB
2 - 3
LEP
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |