Gazélec Ajaccio U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
14º
8º
46
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
ROD
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
OLY
25%
21%
55%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ETI
4 - 1
AJA
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
NIC
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
AJA
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
ETI
36%
24%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
MON
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 1
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |