Follonica Gavorrano vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
GAV
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 1
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
GAV
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
1 - 4
BOR
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 2
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
PON
4 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 0
PON
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PON
3 - 1
RAA
82%
14%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 1
PON
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PON
1 - 1
APR
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |