Follonica Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
4 - 2
TIF
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ACS
2 - 1
GAV
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 1
OST
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 2
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 0
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
SIE
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
SDT
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
OST
1 - 3
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |