Follonica Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
GAV
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GAV
3 - 3
SER
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SFF
1 - 1
GAV
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GAV
2 - 1
SGP
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GAV
0 - 0
CUN
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
GHI
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
SDT
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MON
3 - 3
ACS
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
FIO
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PIA
4 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |