Follonica Gavorrano vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GAV
1 - 1
GRO
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIV
0 - 0
GAV
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GAV
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORV
0 - 0
GAV
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAV
2 - 1
PIA
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 1
SDT
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
ACS
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 0
USR
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIA
3 - 1
ACS
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACS
1 - 1
MPO
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |