Gavirate Calcio vs Marnate Nizzolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavirate Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
TRA
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAV
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 2
RON
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GAV
4 - 1
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marnate Nizzolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
UBO
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOZ
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |