Gavilanes Matamoros vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
3 - 1
COL
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
GAV
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 3
MAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
GAV
2 - 0
COR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 3
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 2
CAT
65%
19%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ATS
4 - 2
MIN
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 2
CSI
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 0
MIN
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 4
ZAC
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |