Gavilanes Matamoros vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 3
GAV
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 3
ZAC
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 2
GAV
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
33%
29%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 0
CSI
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
CSI
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
EST
4 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
COR
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DUR
4 - 1
MIN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MIN
0 - 3
NAY
8%
21%
71%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |