Gavilanes Matamoros vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
5º
13
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 1
GAV
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
6 - 1
COL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
GAV
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GAV
2 - 2
AGU
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REB
2 - 2
GAV
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
2 - 1
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
79%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
LUL
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |