Gavilanes Matamoros vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
4º
24
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GAV
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
4 - 1
COR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
GAV
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
REB
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
LUL
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
IRA
8%
18%
75%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
IRA
7%
17%
77%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
IRA
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |