Gavilanes Matamoros vs Durango analysis

Gavilanes Matamoros Durango
57 ELO 62
-1.8% Tilt -5.1%
2478º General ELO ranking 1862º
37º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Gavilanes Matamoros
27.3%
Draw
37.2%
Durango

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
Gavilanes Matamoros
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.2%
Win probability
Durango
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gavilanes Matamoros
-10%
-6%
Durango

Points and table prediction

Gavilanes Matamoros
Their league position
Durango
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
18º
62
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chihuahua FC
58
75
94.5%
Los Cabos
65
66
85%
Durango
62
63
89%
Gavilanes Matamoros
56
57
100%
UA Tamaulipas
52
52
100%
Tecos
51
51
43.5%
Saltillo FC
10º
48
49
23%
Orgullo de Reynosa
49
49
23.5%
Cimarrones II
48
49
13%
Leones Negros II
49
49
10º
6.5%
UA Zacatecas
12º
43
44
11º
30%
Tritones Vallarta
11º
44
44
12º
36%
Real Apodaca
13º
42
42
13º
82%
Mineros de Fresnillo
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Club Calor
15º
35
36
15º
100%
Mexicali FC
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Colima
17º
24
24
17º
74.5%
Coras de Nayarit
18º
22
23
18º
74.5%
Expected probabilities
Gavilanes Matamoros
Durango
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gavilanes Matamoros
Durango
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gavilanes Matamoros
Gavilanes Matamoros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2023
LCU
Los Cabos
1 - 1
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
36%
26%
38%
58 54 4 0
01 Oct. 2023
GAV
Gavilanes Matamoros
5 - 1
Mexicali FC
MFC
79%
14%
7%
58 29 29 0
26 Sep. 2023
MIN
Mineros de Fresnillo
3 - 0
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
15%
23%
62%
59 39 20 -1
17 Sep. 2023
GAV
Gavilanes Matamoros
3 - 0
Leones Negros II
LEO
77%
16%
7%
59 36 23 0
10 Sep. 2023
TRI
Tritones Vallarta
1 - 1
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
38%
28%
34%
59 55 4 0

Matches

Durango
Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2023
DUR
Durango
1 - 3
Chihuahua FC
CFC
54%
24%
21%
63 57 6 0
30 Sep. 2023
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
2 - 1
Durango
DUR
13%
21%
66%
63 20 43 0
23 Sep. 2023
DUR
Durango
1 - 0
Coras de Nayarit
NAY
71%
18%
10%
63 50 13 0
18 Sep. 2023
RAF
Real Apodaca
0 - 2
Durango
DUR
13%
21%
66%
63 12 51 0
09 Sep. 2023
DUR
Durango
2 - 1
Club Calor
CAL
63%
22%
15%
63 55 8 0