Gavilanes Matamoros vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 0
GAV
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 0
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
REB
0 - 1
GAV
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
GAV
3 - 0
MIN
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
GAV
1 - 0
ASL
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
DUR
23%
27%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAZ
1 - 0
DUR
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DUR
2 - 1
MIN
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
EST
0 - 2
DUR
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |