Gavilanes Matamoros vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAC
0 - 3
GAV
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
GAV
3 - 1
COR
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EST
0 - 1
GAV
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
GAV
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GAV
4 - 3
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LEO
5 - 0
DUR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 2
TEM
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 1
DUR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
DUR
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |