Gavilanes Matamoros vs UA Tamaulipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
4º
11
8º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
GAV
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 2
REB
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 1
CFO
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
COR
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CFO
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |