Gavilanes Matamoros vs UA Tamaulipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
3º
2º
13
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INT
1 - 2
GAV
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GAV
1 - 2
TAM
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAV
4 - 1
REB
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAT
0 - 1
GAV
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 1
GAV
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
LUL
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
COR
4 - 0
INT
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 0
COR
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
REB
1 - 1
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
COR
5 - 2
CAT
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |