Gavilanes Matamoros vs Orgullo de Reynosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
CFO
0 - 1
GAV
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 1
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 0
NAY
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 1
GAV
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 0
CAL
59%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Orgullo de Reynosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
CFO
0 - 1
GAV
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CFO
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 1
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 2
CFO
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CFO
2 - 1
NAY
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |