Gavilanes Matamoros vs Orgullo de Reynosa analysis

Gavilanes Matamoros Orgullo de Reynosa
55 ELO 25
-5.5% Tilt -3.4%
2478º General ELO ranking 50872º
37º Country ELO ranking 409º
ELO win probability
79.5%
Gavilanes Matamoros
14%
Draw
6.5%
Orgullo de Reynosa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
Gavilanes Matamoros
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
Orgullo de Reynosa
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gavilanes Matamoros
-10%
+12%
Orgullo de Reynosa

Points and table prediction

Gavilanes Matamoros
Their league position
Orgullo de Reynosa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
18º
49
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chihuahua FC
58
75
94.5%
Los Cabos
65
66
85%
Durango
62
63
89%
Gavilanes Matamoros
56
57
100%
UA Tamaulipas
52
52
100%
Tecos
51
51
43.5%
Saltillo FC
10º
48
49
23%
Orgullo de Reynosa
49
49
23.5%
Cimarrones II
48
49
13%
Leones Negros II
49
49
10º
6.5%
UA Zacatecas
12º
43
44
11º
30%
Tritones Vallarta
11º
44
44
12º
36%
Real Apodaca
13º
42
42
13º
82%
Mineros de Fresnillo
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Club Calor
15º
35
36
15º
100%
Mexicali FC
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Colima
17º
24
24
17º
74.5%
Coras de Nayarit
18º
22
23
18º
74.5%
Expected probabilities
Gavilanes Matamoros
Orgullo de Reynosa
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 42.5%
Mid-table
0% 57.5%

ELO progression

Gavilanes Matamoros
Orgullo de Reynosa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gavilanes Matamoros
Gavilanes Matamoros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
NAY
Coras de Nayarit
2 - 1
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
28%
26%
46%
56 49 7 0
04 Nov. 2023
GAV
Gavilanes Matamoros
0 - 0
Real Apodaca
RAF
82%
13%
6%
56 18 38 0
29 Oct. 2023
CAL
Club Calor
2 - 2
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
32%
27%
41%
56 52 4 0
21 Oct. 2023
GAV
Gavilanes Matamoros
1 - 1
Saltillo FC
ATS
44%
26%
30%
56 56 0 0
15 Oct. 2023
CSI
Cimarrones II
1 - 1
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
22%
26%
53%
57 45 12 -1

Matches

Orgullo de Reynosa
Orgullo de Reynosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
2 - 0
Chihuahua FC
CFC
12%
20%
68%
23 57 34 0
04 Nov. 2023
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
3 - 1
UA Zacatecas
ZAC
10%
19%
71%
21 57 36 +2
29 Oct. 2023
NAY
Coras de Nayarit
0 - 0
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
85%
10%
5%
21 48 27 0
21 Oct. 2023
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
0 - 1
Real Apodaca
RAF
65%
18%
17%
22 17 5 -1
15 Oct. 2023
CAL
Club Calor
0 - 2
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
77%
16%
7%
21 53 32 +1