GAVC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GAVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GAC
0 - 5
SVB
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
WVV
6 - 0
GAC
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FVC
0 - 1
GAC
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GAC
5 - 1
GRC
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GAC
1 - 3
VVN
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
6 - 0
FVC
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ROL
0 - 3
ALC
10%
14%
77%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 3
WVV
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VVE
0 - 2
ALC
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |