Gavarnese vs Mario Zanconti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 0
GAV
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 3
GAV
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
0 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 0
GAV
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
3 - 1
FOR
41%
24%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Mario Zanconti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEM
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
MAR
11%
18%
71%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |