Gavardo vs Prevalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+164%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 0
GAV
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GAV
0 - 2
PEN
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ORA
3 - 3
GAV
81%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Prevalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 0
VAL
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
2 - 3
PIA
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 4
PRE
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |