Gavardo vs Capriolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+164%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gavardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAV
79%
13%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 1
CEL
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
GAV
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GAV
5 - 0
LOD
24%
23%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAV
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Capriolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
PRE
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PIA
0 - 0
CAP
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
CAP
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 0
OME
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |