Gauthiod vs Vårgårda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
KAR
0 - 0
GAU
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
GAU
1 - 0
VFK
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ORE
0 - 0
GAU
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GAU
0 - 1
TRO
25%
22%
54%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
STE
2 - 2
GAU
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vårgårda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
VAG
3 - 2
FBK
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
VAN
0 - 4
VAG
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VAG
3 - 0
TIK
35%
23%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
VAG
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
VAG
0 - 0
SKO
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |