Gauthiod vs Lidköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
14º
13º
39
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
GAU
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VFK
2 - 0
GAU
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GBK
3 - 2
GAU
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
GAU
1 - 4
KUM
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 1
GAU
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lidköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LID
1 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
LID
3 - 2
AIF
23%
24%
54%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
LID
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
KUM
3 - 2
LID
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
LID
1 - 1
BKF
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |