Gaúcho vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GAU
1 - 0
GLO
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 0
GAU
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
4 - 0
GAU
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 77 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
GAU
0 - 1
SCI
5%
15%
81%
|
36 | 87 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
NOV
4 - 1
GAU
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 3
JUV
10%
17%
74%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GLO
4 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAN
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SCI
0 - 0
GUA
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | +1 |