Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 3-2
Gaúcho vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 1
BOR
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
0 - 1
GAU
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GAU
2 - 0
NOV
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAU
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
ECA
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 1
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |