Super Copa Gaúcha Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Gaúcho vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 0
GAU
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
2 - 0
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 1
BOR
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 0
GAU
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAX
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
SJO
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |