Gaúcho vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 0
GAU
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
GAU
1 - 0
NOV
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
2 - 3
GAU
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
SCI
3 - 1
GAU
86%
11%
3%
|
32 | 85 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GAU
2 - 2
CAN
14%
19%
66%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAX
80%
15%
6%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
2 - 3
GAU
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
CAN
0 - 1
CAX
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
0 - 2
PAS
70%
17%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |