Gaúcho vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 2
GAU
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 1
GAU
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
GAU
2 - 0
FOZ
12%
22%
66%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 0
GAU
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
GAU
0 - 0
ECA
15%
23%
62%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +3 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 2
GAU
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FOZ
1 - 3
BRU
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 1
BOA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
BRU
37%
26%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 4
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |