Gateshead vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
TAM
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 2
YOR
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HAY
2 - 3
GAT
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
GAT
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
CAM
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 0
EBB
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 3
MAN
45%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRI
1 - 3
WRE
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
WRE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WRE
0 - 3
YOR
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |