Gateshead vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
CHE
5 - 0
GAT
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 0
GAT
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
GAT
1 - 1
YOR
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 2
GAT
34%
25%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GAT
0 - 2
HAL
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
WES
2 - 2
DAR
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
WEY
3 - 3
WES
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
WES
2 - 3
WEY
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
WES
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
WES
2 - 3
WHI
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |