Gateshead vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
GAT
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GAT
1 - 1
SOL
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
SCU
3 - 1
GAT
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GAT
1 - 3
WOK
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
GAT
2 - 1
ALT
57%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
STE
24%
29%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
DON
0 - 1
STE
30%
29%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
STE
2 - 3
NOR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
TOT
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 1
STE
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |