Gateshead vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
GAT
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 1
BOR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 4
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 2
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
TOW
3 - 2
GAT
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
KID
1 - 3
WRE
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
KID
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
DOV
3 - 2
KID
60%
24%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
KID
2 - 2
GRI
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
KID
0 - 2
STF
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |