Gateshead vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 2
GAT
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
0 - 0
ALD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 1
NUN
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
4 - 0
HYD
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
KID
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
KID
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
KID
1 - 2
DAR
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
POS
2 - 3
KID
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
KID
3 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |