Gateshead vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
1 - 2
BRA
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 4
GAT
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 1
WRE
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAT
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EBB
3 - 1
GAT
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KID
3 - 2
EBB
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
NUN
0 - 1
KID
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KID
3 - 1
ALF
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
KID
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HYD
0 - 4
KID
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |