Gateshead vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
STO
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
GAT
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
DAR
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
WRE
2 - 1
GAT
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
3 - 2
KET
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
KID
3 - 1
HAY
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
KID
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
KID
1 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
YOR
2 - 3
KID
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
KID
2 - 0
VAU
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |