Gateshead vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 5
WOK
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
GAT
4 - 1
STO
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
GAT
0 - 1
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
KID
0 - 1
GAT
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 0
GUI
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 2
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 1
GUI
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
BRO
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |