Garw Athletic vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garw Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
ATG
0 - 4
LID
16%
22%
62%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ATG
0 - 4
DIN
14%
20%
67%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ATG
0 - 6
CWM
14%
20%
67%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GOY
11 - 0
ATG
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
8 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
LID
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
8 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |