Garw Athletic vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garw Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ATG
0 - 9
CAM
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
11 - 1
ATG
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
CAM
6 - 0
ATG
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ABE
10 - 0
ATG
82%
13%
5%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATG
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRY
0 - 2
TON
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 0
BRI
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRY
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 2
ERA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRY
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |