Garliava vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
8º
28
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garliava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 3
GKA
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 2
GKA
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GKA
3 - 0
SIA
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
GKA
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GKA
1 - 2
BEN
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SIA
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MIN
3 - 0
ZAL
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 3
TRA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
ZAL
38%
24%
39%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 3
LIE
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |