Garlasco vs Corbetta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+298%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garlasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACC
2 - 2
GAR
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
BOR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LOM
0 - 0
GAR
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GAR
0 - 1
SET
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 1
GAR
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Corbetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
SET
21%
22%
56%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
COR
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COR
4 - 0
SIZ
44%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 0
COR
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COR
0 - 1
VIL
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |