Gargáligas vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
VAL
6 - 0
GAR
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 0
MAL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 0
GAR
76%
16%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 3
SAG
30%
24%
47%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
GAR
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TRU
4 - 3
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CPC
2 - 1
TRU
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TRU
0 - 2
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
TRU
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 5
GIM
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |