Gargáligas vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 0
GAR
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GAR
3 - 1
CAC
11%
20%
69%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
MON
4 - 0
GAR
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GAR
3 - 4
CHI
29%
25%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 0
ORE
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
TRU
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
0 - 3
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 1
TRU
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
VIL
3 - 1
TRU
76%
16%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +9 |