Gargáligas vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 0
GAR
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GAR
3 - 0
TAL
52%
23%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
GAR
38%
26%
37%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 1
GIM
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
GAR
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 0
AMA
19%
23%
58%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 1
CAS
25%
24%
50%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 1
ORE
42%
25%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ORE
2 - 0
MAL
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 0
MOR
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |