Gargáligas vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gargáligas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 1
GAR
43%
25%
32%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GAR
4 - 2
BRO
61%
21%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARR
7 - 0
GAR
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 4
HER
36%
25%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
COR
6 - 0
GAR
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAL
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AMA
4 - 0
COR
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
AMA
30%
27%
44%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 2
AMA
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 2
TRU
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |