Garforth Town vs Ashington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
GAR
2 - 1
MOS
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
TAD
1 - 2
GAR
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
GAR
1 - 0
YOR
10%
18%
72%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
GAR
1 - 2
ALB
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 1
WYT
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
ASH
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CON
4 - 1
ASH
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 2
ASH
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASH
1 - 1
BIS
15%
19%
67%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ASH
4 - 0
SPE
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |