Gares vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BET
3 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 3
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 1
GAR
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 3
PAM
44%
26%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 2
BUR
29%
27%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
BUR
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
UDM
8%
17%
75%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 1
SUB
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SJU
3 - 2
UDM
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
CDI
73%
16%
10%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |