Gares vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FON
2 - 0
GAR
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BID
0 - 0
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
CAV
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 1
IDO
49%
25%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GAR
0 - 0
INF
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAV
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
INF
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
ERR
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 0
OBE
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |