Gares vs Lagunak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
GAR
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
CDA
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MEN
0 - 2
GAR
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GAR
0 - 2
AVA
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 2
GAR
20%
22%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lagunak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
LAG
2 - 1
AOI
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CDI
3 - 2
LAG
78%
15%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 1
AZK
44%
25%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ABL
4 - 2
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 2
CDB
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |