Gares vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 1
CDI
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AZK
0 - 0
GAR
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAR
4 - 0
ABL
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 2
GAR
40%
26%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 0
CDB
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AOI
5 - 2
CDB
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CDI
1 - 3
AOI
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AOI
1 - 0
AZK
42%
26%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ABL
2 - 0
AOI
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AOI
2 - 1
LAG
31%
27%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |